"Tell the market we'll have an estimate on predicted land-sight conditional-on-everything-else-we-believe-being-true in 30. Escort flight showing up conditional-on-everything-else-we-believe-being-true--very rough estimate, about an hour from when comms first went out. Could be longer if they're not going supersonic to get a bead on us, but I predict they'll go supersonic. If they're not here before we hit land then we're lost or Exception Handling is busy, so in non-mundane worlds that'll kill almost all the mundane probability before we're supposed to sight land."
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"Tell the market we'll have an estimate on predicted land-sight conditional-on-everything-else-we-believe-being-true in 30. Escort flight showing up conditional-on-everything-else-we-believe-being-true--very rough estimate, about an hour from when comms first went out. Could be longer if they're not going supersonic to get a bead on us, but I predict they'll go supersonic. If they're not here before we hit land then we're lost or Exception Handling is busy, so in non-mundane worlds that'll kill almost all the business-as-usual probability before we can sight land." |
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"Tell the market we'll have an estimate on predicted land-sight conditional-on-everything-else-we-believe-being-true in 30. Escort flight showing up conditional-on-everything-else-we-believe-being-true... very rough estimate, about an hour from when comms first went out. Could be longer if they're not going supersonic to get a bead on us, but I predict they'll go supersonic. If they're not here before we hit land then we're lost or Exception Handling is busy, so in non-mundane worlds that'll kill almost all the business-as-usual probability before we can sight land." |