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Version: 1
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital randomly has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective.  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment they're called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario - even after we were called in - is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 13%.  One-third of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should have taken them to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people plus synergy for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general, be paid the same amount as third-tier hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, detect it, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice talent like that and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 2
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital randomly has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective.  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment they're called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario - even after we were called in - is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should have taken them to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people plus synergy for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general, be paid the same amount as third-tier hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, detect it, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice talent like that and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 3
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital randomly has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective.  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment they're called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario - even after we were called in - is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general, be paid the same amount as third-tier hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, detect it, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice talent like that and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 4
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital randomly has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective.  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment they're called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario - even after we were called in - is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general rule, be paid the same amount as tier-three hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, detect it, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice talent like that and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 5
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital randomly has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective.  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment they're called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario - even after we were called in - is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general rule, be paid the same amount as tier-three hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  We are not actually paying people according to their opportunity costs and the marginal value they generate, but paying them according to some other mysterious and cryptic principle entirely.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, detect it, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice talent like that and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 6
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital randomly has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective.  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment they're called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario - even after we were called in - is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general rule, be paid the same amount as tier-three hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  We are not actually paying people according to their opportunity costs and the marginal value they generate, but paying them according to some other mysterious and cryptic principle entirely.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice excess talent there and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 7
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital randomly has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective.  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment they're called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario - even after we were called in - is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general rule, be paid the same amount as tier-three hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  We are not actually paying people according to their opportunity costs and the marginal value they generate, but paying them according to some entirely other mysterious principle.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice excess talent there and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 8
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective!  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment those are called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general rule, be paid the same amount as tier-three hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  We are not actually paying people according to their opportunity costs and the marginal value they generate, but paying them according to some entirely other mysterious principle.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity linear in one emergency-cert maintenance, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice excess talent there and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 9
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"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the hospital's emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective!  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment those are called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general rule, be paid the same amount as tier-three hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  We are not actually paying people according to their opportunity costs and the marginal value they generate, but paying them according to some entirely other mysterious principle.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity that is linear per emergency cert, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice excess talent there and move it where it can generate the most value."

Version: 10
Fields Changed Content
Updated
Content

"And here, of course, another random unearned heroic saviour begins to become important to this story, because the local hospital has someone who possesses the exact five certs needed for five different emergency protocols to be implemented simultaneously.  Sheer improbability?  Meddling aliens?  No, it just turns out that she has all of the emergency certs.  Why, it's hardly improbable at all, when you look at it from that perspective!  And she's done roughly twenty times as much emergency sim time as her general career cohort and can interoperate all five protocols adequately from the moment those are called in."

"There's two problems with this, people.  The first problem of course is that we could not possibly have relied on this happening, as part of any ACTUAL PLAN, which means that no part of this performance can be properly credited to Exception Handling as such, and our earned performance on this scenario is whatever the patient's survival probability would have been without that quality of medical care being delivered immediately.  Which a counterfactual market-grounded-nonmarket-prediction places at 15%.  One quarter of our total success probability was delivered by this one stroke of sheer, unearned luck."

"The second problem is that this particular bit of good luck should actively not have happened because somebody like that should not be working at a small regional hospital.  It should have reliably been the case that this hospital had nobody like that, because they should not have found it profitable to spend the amount of money it should take to afford that level of talent and put it to that particular use.  I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I know what they are supposed to do.  Labor markets are supposed to offer people financial incentives to go work where their work will be most valuable, such as, say, Default Hospital, where they on a weekly basis encounter strange patients who could benefit from somebody simultaneously versed in all protocols, practiced in synergies of their simultaneous operation; who could benefit further from someone able to do the work of five people for six consecutive shifts, at an emergency tempo, accumulating additional facts and practices and procedural skills about the particular patient."

"Does Harkanam regional hospital pay to employ second-rank Keepers as medical personnel?  No?  Because my understanding is that by the time we had our second-rank Keeper medtech in place to replace Merrin, she was doing adequately enough and was enough of a known quantity of adequate performance that policy-prediction-markets declared it a bad idea to replace her, especially after taking into account that the second-rank Keeper in question in fact had less total emergency sim time.  People you can't replace with second-rank Keepers should not, as a general rule, be paid the same amount as tier-three hospital medtechs."

"I am not an expert on labor markets, people, but I have read theorems about them.  I know what sort of equilibria correctly functioning labor markets are supposed to have.  In a functioning labor market in equilibrium, you should not be able to trivially predictably generate a massive profit by moving labor from one use to another.  So, while I don't know what to call whatever Civilization has instead of a labor market, we apparently don't have one.  We simply do not have a labor market, people.  We are not actually paying people according to their opportunity costs and the marginal value they generate, but paying them according to some entirely other mysterious principle.  Somebody who acquires several dozen emergency certs should not be paid for emergency-cert maintenance a quantity that is linear per emergency cert, because their value is not, in fact, LINEAR.  If that DOES happen and furthermore the way in which it came about is that somebody did twenty times as much emergency sim time as the rest of her cohort, including multiple runs of consecutive hours at emergency tempo on a practically daily basis, you would think there would be some sort of VENTURE CAPITALIST who would see a misplaced labor source and try to MOVE HER SOMEWHERE MORE PROFITABLE in exchange for MONEY.  But this did not happen because of a MISSING REQUISITE detected by the software, a requisite for the supposed fluid intelligence levels to easily acquire the crystallized skills she ALREADY HAD."

"Civilization did not simply profit from Merrin happening to be present, today, it profited from Merrin being present somewhere she was underpaid.  We profited at Merrin's own expense, and that's just entirely unacceptable."

"Why did nobody notice the entire stamina monster affair?  It's valuable generally and in medicine specifically.  We know extended endurance is valuable in medicine.  Default Hospital bids more for their tier-five and tier-six operators who have that property.  So why don't we measure that capability, run competitions about it, and award status for it?  If it's valuable to society, why doesn't society try to detect it and reward it somehow?  Are we just hoping that we'll get nice things for free?  There should be, I don't know, Endurance Medical Technician rankings, if that's a useful property worth competing on, and that way society can actually notice excess talent there and move it where it can generate the most value."