...trying to complete his list of the big items, that frame the hypotheses that today's fresh-in-memory observations could update against:

- Keltham arriving in Golarion, instead of being dead, was a pretty large surprise to him at the time.  His explanation for this surprise is not necessarily correct; for him to postulate that the Keepers have figured it out as an a priori necessity is not the same as Keltham having really understood that a priori necessity for himself, even if he has a plausible theory about how that could be the case.  This is mostly not the sort of thing that Keltham is expecting to explain today, but it's still a big deal that should always be somewhere on any list of major confusions.

- Similarly, his landing at the Worldwound, on Carissa, who seems very romantically compatible with him, is thought in Ordinary to form part of that same weirdness and improbability; that apparent observation could still be better explained by some Conspiracy theory.

- Everything to do with Snack Service.  Supposedly if Keltham thinks about this too much, Snack Service is retroactively allowed to help him less.  Keltham is skeptical, but he will try computing everything without Snack Service in it; and if it looks afterwards like Snack Service is a huge missing piece or an obvious Conspiracy tactic, then sorry, but Keltham is going to add in the Snack Service part.

- Masochists.  Damage-resistant masochists.  Okay they demonstrated that Keltham himself has now acquired the same damage resistance, and there sure does seem to be a reasonable corpus of erotic novels to read on the subject, but it remains incredibly not expected in advance and goes on the list.

- The whole eroLARP thing, with Keltham having an unreasonable number of interesting girlfriends who were all supposedly quickly collected out of Ostenso wizard academy.  Okay, fine, Pilar was supposedly oracle-cursed afterwards and Meritxell (or as Keltham refers to her in private, 'All Other Girlfriends') maybe isn't that interesting in an objective sense.  But Ione is supposedly Nethys-touched and Asmodia is... Asmodia.  That's still a lot of interesting girlfriendness to have been randomly collected out of a wizard academy's top female students.

- Yaisa seems totally unproblematic in any way, except for being way too perfect at the thing that she is and not having any problems.  If this whole investigation ends up resurrecting the tropes hypothesis, then there is some kind of huge deal about Yaisa that is being hidden.  There have been no hints of this, unless Keltham is really missing something, and it should arguably go down as a point against some more paranoid hypotheses.

- Golarion continues to seem to be overall worse off than the number of Golarion Doomfacts that Keltham knows about can account for.
-- Keltham did tell Carissa it was okay not to dump all of the doomfacts on him at once.  He should at the very least be trying to keep around a Possible-Ordinary hypothesis where some things are being lightly obscured from him in a friendly way, so that Keltham doesn't, like, get suddenly hit with something 100x worse than a slave market.
-- No he should not just put on an artifact headband if there are things around 100x worse than slave markets.  He.  Doesn't think.  He still doesn't think.  For now.

- Korva Tallandria, who was presumably heavily screened before being offered to the Project, publicly burst into tears supposedly in an 'ordinary' way not indicative of a huge mental break.  Keltham doesn't see what this points at, but it surprised him at the time, so it goes on the list.

- Keltham was recently surprised, and should have maybe noticed a trace of confusion, when Cheliax said they wanted to make a massive nation-scale push at spellsilver, without having offered him nation-scale resources earlier on, even when it should've been apparent that Keltham was headed there.  And why one month?  That's a weird time interval in which to try to scale, given Cheliax's apparent level of state capacity and how urgent they've been about things previously.  Keltham doesn't have any idea of where that's going, he's just noticing a trace of confusion about the whole thing.
-- Seems worth noting that this presentation kicked off Keltham's own attempt at Conspiracy review.  If the Conspiracy is gauging him very exactly, that could itself be some sort of plot.  Like, Keltham isn't seeing it at all, but he's still noting it down.

...trying to complete his list of the big items, that frame the hypotheses that today's fresh-in-memory observations could update against:

- Keltham arriving in Golarion, instead of being dead, was a pretty large surprise to him at the time.  His explanation for this surprise is not necessarily correct; for him to postulate that the Keepers have figured it out as an a priori necessity is not the same as Keltham having really understood that a priori necessity for himself, even if he has a plausible theory about how that could be the case.  This is mostly not the sort of thing that Keltham is expecting to explain today, but it's still a big deal that should always be somewhere on any list of major confusions.

- Similarly, his landing at the Worldwound, on Carissa, who seems very romantically compatible with him, is thought in Ordinary to form part of that same weirdness and improbability; that apparent observation could still be better explained by some Conspiracy theory.

- Everything to do with Snack Service.  Supposedly if Keltham thinks about this too much, Snack Service is retroactively allowed to help him less.  Keltham is skeptical, but he will try computing everything without Snack Service in it; and if it looks afterwards like Snack Service is a huge missing piece or an obvious Conspiracy tactic, then sorry, but Keltham is going to add in the Snack Service part.

- Masochists.  Damage-resistant masochists.  Okay they demonstrated that Keltham himself has now acquired the same damage resistance, and there sure does seem to be a reasonable corpus of erotic novels to read on the subject, but it remains incredibly not expected in advance and goes on the list.

- The whole eroLARP thing, with Keltham having an unreasonable number of interesting girlfriends who were all supposedly quickly collected out of Ostenso wizard academy.  Okay, fine, Pilar was supposedly oracle-cursed afterwards and Meritxell (or as Keltham refers to her in private, 'All Other Girlfriends') maybe isn't that interesting in an objective sense.  But Ione is supposedly Nethys-touched and Asmodia is... Asmodia.  That's still a lot of interesting girlfriendness to have been randomly collected out of a wizard academy's top female students.

- Yaisa seems totally unproblematic in any way, except for being way too perfect at the thing that she is and not having any problems.  If this whole investigation ends up resurrecting the tropes hypothesis, then there is some kind of huge deal about Yaisa that is being hidden.  There have been no hints of this, unless Keltham is really missing something, and it should arguably go down as a point against some more paranoid hypotheses.

- Golarion continues to seem to be overall worse off than the number of Golarion Doomfacts that Keltham knows about can account for.
-- Keltham did tell Carissa it was okay not to dump all of the doomfacts on him at once.  He should at the very least be trying to keep around a Possible-Ordinary hypothesis where some things are being lightly obscured from him in a friendly way, so that Keltham doesn't, like, get suddenly hit with something 100x worse than a slave market.
-- No he should not just put on an artifact headband if there are things around 100x worse than slave markets.  He.  Doesn't think.  He still doesn't think.  For now.

- Korva Tallandria, who was presumably heavily screened before being offered to the Project, publicly burst into tears supposedly in an 'ordinary' way not indicative of a huge mental break.  Keltham doesn't see what this points at, but it surprised him at the time, so it goes on the list.

- He's been promised a trip to Ostenso in 1 day, which might turn into 2 days.  He can supposedly get lots of books if he's a little patient.
-- In Conspiracy worlds, this means either that they can fake a lot more things on a day's notice to prep new spells, or that, on a day's notice to prep new spells, they can mind-control him... in some way that would have been too expensive or too risky or have downsides which is why they didn't do it immediately.

- Keltham was recently surprised, and should have maybe noticed a trace of confusion, when Cheliax said they wanted to make a massive nation-scale push at spellsilver, without having offered him nation-scale resources earlier on, even when it should've been apparent that Keltham was headed there.  And why one month?  That's a weird time interval in which to try to scale, given Cheliax's apparent level of state capacity and how urgent they've been about things previously.  Keltham doesn't have any idea of where that's going, he's just noticing a trace of confusion about the whole thing.
-- Seems worth noting that this presentation kicked off Keltham's own attempt at Conspiracy review.  If the Conspiracy is gauging him very exactly, that could itself be some sort of plot.  Like, Keltham isn't seeing it at all, but he's still noting it down.

...trying to complete his list of the big items, that frame the hypotheses that today's fresh-in-memory observations could update against:

- Keltham arriving in Golarion, instead of being dead, was a pretty large surprise to him at the time.  His explanation for this surprise is not necessarily correct; for him to postulate that the Keepers have figured it out as an a priori necessity is not the same as Keltham having really understood that a priori necessity for himself, even if he has a plausible theory about how that could be the case.  This is mostly not the sort of thing that Keltham is expecting to explain today, but it's still a big deal that should always be somewhere on any list of major confusions.

- Similarly, his landing at the Worldwound, on Carissa, who seems very romantically compatible with him, is thought in Ordinary to form part of that same weirdness and improbability; that apparent observation could still be better explained by some Conspiracy theory.

- Everything to do with Snack Service.  Supposedly if Keltham thinks about this too much, Snack Service is retroactively allowed to help him less.  Keltham is skeptical, but he will try computing everything without Snack Service in it; and if it looks afterwards like Snack Service is a huge missing piece or an obvious Conspiracy tactic, then sorry, but Keltham is going to add in the Snack Service part.

- Masochists.  Damage-resistant masochists.  Okay they demonstrated that Keltham himself has now acquired the same damage resistance, and there sure does seem to be a reasonable corpus of erotic novels to read on the subject, but it remains incredibly not expected in advance and goes on the list.

- The whole eroLARP thing, with Keltham having an unreasonable number of interesting girlfriends who were all supposedly quickly collected out of Ostenso wizard academy.  Okay, fine, Pilar was supposedly oracle-cursed afterwards and Meritxell (or as Keltham refers to her in private, 'All Other Girlfriends') maybe isn't that interesting in an objective sense.  But Ione is supposedly Nethys-touched and Asmodia is... Asmodia.  That's still a lot of interesting girlfriendness to have been randomly collected out of a wizard academy's top female students.

- Yaisa seems totally unproblematic in any way; except for being way too perfect at what she is and does, while not having any problems.  If this whole investigation ends up resurrecting the tropes hypothesis, then there is some kind of huge deal about Yaisa that is being hidden.  There have been no hints of this, unless Keltham is really missing something, and it should arguably go down as a point against some more paranoid hypotheses.

- Golarion continues to seem to be overall worse off than the number of Golarion Doomfacts that Keltham knows about can account for.
-- Keltham did tell Carissa it was okay not to dump all of the doomfacts on him at once.  He should at the very least be trying to keep around a Possible-Ordinary hypothesis where some things are being lightly obscured from him in a friendly way, so that Keltham doesn't, like, get suddenly hit with something 100x worse than a slave market.
-- No he should not just put on an artifact headband if there are things around 100x worse than slave markets.  He.  Doesn't think.  He still doesn't think.  For now.

- Korva Tallandria, who was presumably heavily screened before being offered to the Project, publicly burst into tears supposedly in an 'ordinary' way not indicative of a huge mental break.  Keltham doesn't see what this points at, but it surprised him at the time, so it goes on the list.

- He's been promised a trip to Ostenso in 1 day, which might turn into 2 days.  He can supposedly get lots of books if he's a little patient.
-- In Conspiracy worlds, this means either that they can fake a lot more things on a day's notice to prep new spells, or that, on a day's notice to prep new spells, they can mind-control him... in some way that would have been too expensive or too risky or have downsides which is why they didn't do it immediately.

- Keltham was recently surprised, and should have maybe noticed a trace of confusion, when Cheliax said they wanted to make a massive nation-scale push at spellsilver, without having offered him nation-scale resources earlier on, even when it should've been apparent that Keltham was headed there.  And why one month?  That's a weird time interval in which to try to scale, given Cheliax's apparent level of state capacity and how urgent they've been about things previously.  Keltham doesn't have any idea of where that's going, he's just noticing a trace of confusion about the whole thing.
-- Seems worth noting that this presentation kicked off Keltham's own attempt at Conspiracy review.  If the Conspiracy is gauging him very exactly, that could itself be some sort of plot.  Like, Keltham isn't seeing it at all, but he's still noting it down.

...trying to complete his list of the big items, that frame the hypotheses that today's fresh-in-memory observations could update against:

- Keltham arriving in Golarion, instead of being dead, was a pretty large surprise to him at the time.  His explanation for this surprise is not necessarily correct; for him to postulate that the Keepers have figured it out as an a priori necessity is not the same as Keltham having really understood that a priori necessity for himself, even if he has a plausible theory about how that could be the case.  This is mostly not the sort of thing that Keltham is expecting to explain today, but it's still a big deal that should always be somewhere on any list of major confusions.

- Similarly, his landing at the Worldwound, on Carissa, who seems very romantically compatible with him, is thought in Ordinary to form part of that same weirdness and improbability; that apparent observation could still be better explained by some Conspiracy theory.

- Everything to do with Snack Service.  Supposedly if Keltham thinks about this too much, Snack Service is retroactively allowed to help him less.  Keltham is skeptical, but he will try computing everything without Snack Service in it; and if it looks afterwards like Snack Service is a huge missing piece or an obvious Conspiracy tactic, then sorry, but Keltham is going to add in the Snack Service part.

- Masochists.  Damage-resistant masochists.  Okay they demonstrated that Keltham himself has now acquired the same damage resistance, and there sure does seem to be a reasonable corpus of erotic novels to read on the subject, but it remains incredibly not expected in advance and goes on the list.

- The whole eroLARP thing, with Keltham having an unreasonable number of interesting girlfriends who were all supposedly quickly collected out of Ostenso wizard academy.  Okay, fine, Pilar was supposedly oracle-cursed afterwards and Meritxell (or as Keltham refers to her in private, 'All Other Girlfriends') maybe isn't that interesting in an objective sense.  But Ione is supposedly Nethys-touched and Asmodia is... Asmodia.  That's still a lot of interesting girlfriendness to have been randomly collected out of a wizard academy's top female students.

- Yaisa seems totally unproblematic in any way; except for being way too perfect at what she is and does, while not having any problems.  If this whole investigation ends up resurrecting the tropes hypothesis, then there is some kind of huge deal about Yaisa that is being hidden.  There have been no hints of this, unless Keltham is really missing something, and it should arguably go down as a point against some more paranoid hypotheses.

- Golarion continues to seem to be overall worse off than the number of Golarion Doomfacts that Keltham knows about can account for.
-- Keltham did tell Carissa it was okay not to dump all of the doomfacts on him at once.  He should at the very least be trying to keep around a Possible-Ordinary hypothesis where some things are being lightly obscured from him in a friendly way, so that Keltham doesn't, like, get suddenly hit with something 100x worse than a slave market.
-- No he should not just put on an artifact headband if there are things around 100x worse than slave markets.  He.  Doesn't think.  He still doesn't think.  For now.

- Korva Tallandria, who was presumably heavily screened before being offered to the Project, publicly burst into tears supposedly in an 'ordinary' way not indicative of a huge mental break.  Keltham doesn't see what this points at, but it surprised him at the time, so it goes on the list.

- He's been promised a trip to Ostenso in 1 day, which might turn into 2 days.  He can supposedly get lots of books if he's a little patient.
-- In Conspiracy worlds, this means either that they can fake a lot more things on a day's notice to prep new spells, or that, on a day's notice to prep new spells, they can mind-control him... in some way that would have been too expensive or too risky or have downsides which is why they didn't do it immediately.

- Keltham was recently surprised, and should have maybe noticed a trace of confusion, when Cheliax said they wanted to make a massive nation-scale push at spellsilver, without having offered him nation-scale resources earlier on, even when it should've been apparent that Keltham was headed there.  And why one month?  That's a weird time interval in which to try to scale, given Cheliax's apparent level of state capacity and how urgent they've been about things previously.  Keltham doesn't have any idea of where that's going, he's just noticing a trace of confusion about the whole thing.
-- Seems worth noting that this new deal kicked off Keltham's own attempt at Conspiracy review.  If the Conspiracy is gauging him very exactly, that could itself be some sort of plot.  Like, Keltham isn't seeing it at all, but he's still noting it down.