First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin feel sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper angrier states of argument than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione into attacking at that moment; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, but it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising so it went on Keltham's list.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione into attacking at that moment; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, but it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising so it went on Keltham's list.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione into attacking at that moment; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, it rhymes with Chelish 'dignity', but he was still surprised at the time and it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising so it went on Keltham's list.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione into attacking at that moment; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, it rhymes with Chelish 'dignity', but he was still surprised at the time and it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising so it went on Keltham's list.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.
-- Note that today there was a whole book specifically about Abrogail Thrune for sale, like somebody was trying really hard to convince him that a person like that existed.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- Similarly, Keltham has somehow mysteriously ended up inside an 'interdiction zone' maintained by Broom's god, which explains why Keltham's own god is no longer able to contact him or pick out helpful spells for him.  It would be terribly dangerous for Keltham to leave this relatively narrow zone around Ostenso.  Possible in Ordinary, but.

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione into attacking at that moment; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, it rhymes with Chelish 'dignity', but he was still surprised at the time and it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising so it went on Keltham's list.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.
-- Note that today there was a whole book specifically about Abrogail Thrune for sale, like somebody was trying really hard to convince him that a person like that existed.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- Similarly, Keltham has somehow mysteriously ended up inside an 'interdiction zone' maintained by Broom's god, Otolmens, which explains why Keltham's own god is no longer able to contact him or pick out helpful spells for him.  It would be terribly dangerous for Keltham to leave this relatively narrow zone around Ostenso.  Possible in Ordinary, but.

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione into attacking at that moment; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, it rhymes with Chelish 'dignity', but he was still surprised at the time and it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising so it went on Keltham's list.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.
-- Note that today there was a whole book specifically about Abrogail Thrune for sale, like somebody was trying really hard to convince him that a person like that existed.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- Similarly, Keltham has somehow mysteriously ended up inside an 'interdiction zone' maintained by Broom's god, Otolmens, which explains why Keltham's own god is no longer able to contact him or pick out helpful spells for him.  It would be terribly dangerous for Keltham to leave this relatively narrow zone around Ostenso.  Possible in Ordinary, but.

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione's prophecy; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.
-- Ione giving prophecies in a world of 'shattered prophecy' is a further improbability in Ordinary.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, it rhymes with Chelish 'dignity', but he was still surprised at the time and it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising so it went on Keltham's list.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.
-- Today there was a whole book specifically about Abrogail Thrune for sale, like somebody was trying really hard to convince him that a person like that existed.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- Similarly, Keltham has somehow mysteriously ended up inside an 'interdiction zone' maintained by Broom's god, Otolmens, which explains why Keltham's own god is no longer able to contact him or pick out helpful spells for him.  It would be terribly dangerous for Keltham to leave this relatively narrow zone around Ostenso.  Possible in Ordinary, but.

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione's prophecy; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.
-- Ione giving prophecies in a world of 'shattered prophecy' is a further improbability in Ordinary.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, it rhymes with Chelish 'dignity', but he was still surprised at the time and it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.
-- Today there was a whole book specifically about Abrogail Thrune for sale, like somebody was trying really hard to convince him that a person like that existed.

First, items he remembers thinking about last night, but written down this time:

- Somehow Keltham ended up confined to a very small location and without a lot of outside information.  Okay, admittedly Keltham didn't push on this.  By the time he had any money he could have spent on a shopping trip including the cost of Teleports and a scry, he was busy storming for spellsilver.  But still.
-- This had loomed very large in Keltham's notice the last night - the sense of being confined to a tiny world, deprived of observation, it felt like that was the circumstance that made Conspiracy continue to feel so possible.  Was there some truth of the larger world that they were trying very hard to hide from him, by keeping him inside one fortress?  Possibly even along the lines of there existing no such country as Cheliax after all?

- Similarly, Keltham has somehow mysteriously ended up inside an 'interdiction zone' maintained by Broom's god, Otolmens, which explains why Keltham's own god is no longer able to contact him or pick out helpful spells for him.  It would be terribly dangerous for Keltham to leave this relatively narrow zone around Ostenso.  Possible in Ordinary, but.

- The critiques of Cheliax that he got from the lantern archon and the paladin felt sort of weaksauce for Golarion.  This is something that it took a long time for Keltham to notice because those would be totally reasonable interfactional critiques in dath ilan.  'Lawful' Good, 'Lawful' Neutral, and 'Lawful' Evil in Golarion are not actually that Lawful and should be in much sharper states of disagreement than that.

- Carissa talking about pitting rats against rats and them fighting to the death in a cannibalistic frenzy, to which she'd sell tickets.  That stood out under Owl's Wisdom, and even in retrospect, knowing that Golarion has afterlives, there's something darker about it than just - a relaxed attitude towards violence.  It implies - not so much being a spectator but more like - hating the rats - Keltham doesn't know.  He couldn't figure out how to investigate this.

- The Zon-Kuthon god-war.  This is supposedly an incredibly rare event in Ordinary, the last god-war having happened a hundred years earlier.  Even if you say it happened because Keltham showed up, Keltham showing up is itself then necessarily a much rarer sort of event in Ordinary, versus Conspiracy where it could potentially happen every five years or whatever and they haven't told him.
-- The way that Nidal ending up attacking at a moment where Keltham could see it happen, instead of being hidden inside while it happened, supposedly was triggered by Ione's prophecy; but it's never actually been explained how Nidal had eyes on Ione.
-- Ione giving prophecies in a world of 'shattered prophecy' is a further improbability in Ordinary.

- When he first arrived at the villa, he'd already formed a hypothesis that Carissa might be hiding facts about gods from him, and then lo and behold there weren't any books detailed in theology in the villa library.  This is maybe excused by it being a really awful library with respect to having any broad reference coverage of basics, his future researchers had better books about wizardry in their bags, but it stands out as a successful advance prediction of a very early Conspiracy theory.

- Supposedly Ostenso academy's only book with a list of cleric spells was out, borrowed, and not returned for a few days.  At the time Keltham assigned that 0.75/0.30 likelihood for Conspiracy over Ordinary, but in later reflection it seems even less plausible.  Cleric spells can be used in synergy with wizard spells, cleric spells can be built into magic items by wizards working with those clerics, arcane magics are constructed in imitation of divine magics, Ostenso academy should have had more than one book with a list of cleric spells.

- Ione's confession to him.  It feels weird, anomalous, even in hindsight, and even with Ione having tried to carefully explain away why she'd done that.  It renders it explicable in Ordinary, yes, but it also feels like - a latent explanation carefully constructed after the fact.

- Manohar and Asmodia.  Same feeling.  There's a story where that happened in Ordinary; it's a possible story; it nonetheless has the feeling of a story constructed after the fact.

- Carissa trying to mimic outward sexual responses she wasn't really feeling.  There's a story after the fact for why it happened, that story holds together, it rhymes with Chelish 'dignity', but he was still surprised at the time and it still has that feeling of something that potentially has a different explanation.

- Pilar going to Elysium... okay actually nothing about Pilar has that made-up-afterwards feeling.  It doesn't make any sense, but it doesn't give off the feeling that any other explanation would make more sense.  Still, it's weird and surprising.

- The Queen of Cheliax like totally decided to go on a Sadistic Date with his girlfriend.  Abrogail supposedly insisted on this against the counsel of her advisors.  This is not impossible in Ordinary, but it is clearly not what was going on in Conspiracy.  If there are tropes producing this kind of impossibility, if that's the real explanation, then it shouldn't have been possible to defuse the whole thing without any conflict; if there are no tropes then why was the Queen trying to date Carissa.
-- Today there was a whole book specifically about Abrogail Thrune for sale, like somebody was trying really hard to convince him that a person like that existed.