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He would've called Willa Shilira for tier-1 based on her combined math and chemistry performance, but it sure is easier to promote people later than demote them.  Offer Willa tier-2 at first, but be ready to jump to tier-1 if she counter-negotiates?

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He would've guessed Willa Shilira for tier-1 based on her combined math and chemistry performance.  But even in dath ilan it's easier to promote people later than demote them, and he'd guess that effect to be exacerbated in Cheliax where there's no explicit emotional disciplines against loss-gain asymmetry.

Offer Willa tier-2 at first, but be ready to jump to tier-1 if she counter-negotiates?

Version: 3
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He would've guessed Willa Shilira for tier-1 based on her combined math and chemistry performance.  But even in dath ilan it's easier to promote people later than demote them, and he'd guess that effect to be exacerbated in Cheliax where there's no explicit emotional disciplines against loss-gain asymmetry.

Offer Willa tier-2 at first, but be ready to jump to tier-1 if she counter-negotiates?  It shouldn't make a Lawful difference to where she ends up, but could make an emotional difference to her trajectory whether she's tier-2 on watch for promotion or tier-1 on watch for demotion.