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"Keltham didn't say.  But that's definitely a probabilistic prediction right there.  Not a certainty given your theory, but more probable - more 'likely' - if it's true than if it's not.  If the timelines matched to within a single year, I'd be certain - not literally probability 1, but fifty times surer than I was before, in the 'posterior' -"

"I am so tempted right now to declare that alter-Cheliax would just tell Keltham about this theory so we could ask him about it, but that's a larger decision than I can make and I don't think I'd be making the decision for the right reasons.  I'm just so desperately curious right now."


"To be clear, this is all well past the point where we'd do literally anything before reporting to Aspexia Rugatonn, but we should loop in Sevar before we do that and see if the Chosen has her own ideas."

"What's your thought on whether Keltham was placed by something with unbroken prophecy, and whether that required searching through a lot of worlds like Golarion to find one world where events would play out like they did?  If that's true - does it mean that some other part of your theory is false, or less probable?"

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"Keltham didn't say.  But that's definitely a probabilistic prediction right there.  Not a certainty given your theory, but more probable - more 'likely' - if it's true than if it's not.  If the timelines matched to within a single year, I'd be certain - not literally probability 1, but fifty times surer than I was before, in the 'posterior' -"

"I am so tempted right now to declare that alter-Cheliax would just tell Keltham about this theory so we could ask him about it, but that's a larger decision than I can make and I don't think I'd be making the decision for the right reasons.  I'm just so desperately curious right now."


"To be clear, this is all well past the point where we'd do literally anything before reporting to Aspexia Rugatonn, but we should loop in Sevar before we do that and see if the Chosen has her own ideas to include in the report, or maybe shoots the whole thing down with some objection we didn't see."

"What's your thought on whether Keltham was placed by something with unbroken prophecy, and whether that required searching through a lot of worlds like Golarion to find one world where events would play out like they did?  If that's true - does it mean that some other part of your theory is false, or less probable?"