"By the way, you can also tell that these are not 'the chances that the theory is correct' because they'd add up to over 11,000 chances out of 10,000, if that's what we were actually doing there."
"I wish I had some way of asking you whether that helped, anonymous question-asker, but maybe communicate again to Ione if that was still unclear?"
"By the way, you can also tell that these are not 'the chances that the theory is correct' because they'd add up to over 12,000 chances out of 10,000, if that's what we were actually doing there."
"I wish I had some way of asking you whether that helped, anonymous question-asker, but maybe communicate again to Ione if that was still unclear?"
Keltham Prestidigitates the corrected table of likelihoods:
All-10s (2 NO, 3 YES):
Propensity:
Likelihood:
1/10
(1/10)^2 * (9/10)^3 = 729/10000
2/10
(2/10)^2 * (8/10)^3 = 2048/10000
4/10
(4/10)^2 * (6/10)^3 = 3456/10000
5/10
= 3125/10000
6/10
(6/10)^2 * (4/10)^3 = 2304/10000
8/10
= 512/10000
9/10
= 81/10000
All-14s (3 YES, 2 NO) = same but table flipped
"By the way, you can also tell that these are not 'the chances that the theory is correct' because they'd add up to over 12,000 chances out of 10,000, if that's what we were actually doing there."
"I wish I had some way of asking you whether that helped, anonymous question-asker, but maybe communicate again to Ione if that was still unclear?"
Keltham Prestidigitates the corrected table of likelihoods:
All-10s (2 NO, 3 YES):
Propensity:
Likelihood:
1/10
(1/10)^2 * (9/10)^3 = 729/10000
2/10
(2/10)^2 * (8/10)^3 = 2048/10000
4/10
(4/10)^2 * (6/10)^3 = 3456/10000
5/10
= 3125/10000
6/10
(6/10)^2 * (4/10)^3 = 2304/10000
8/10
= 512/10000
9/10
= 81/10000
All-14s (3 YES, 2 NO) = same but table flipped
"By the way, you can also tell that these are not 'the chances that the theory is correct' because they'd add up to over 12,000 chances out of 10,000, if that's what we were actually doing there."
"I wish I had some way of asking you whether that helped, anonymous question-asker, but maybe communicate again to Ione if that was still unclear?"
Keltham Prestidigitates the corrected table of likelihoods:
All-10s (2 NO, 3 YES):
Propensity:
Likelihood:
1/10
(1/10)^2 * (9/10)^3 = 729/10000
2/10
(2/10)^2 * (8/10)^3 = 2048/10000
4/10
(4/10)^2 * (6/10)^3 = 3456/10000
5/10
= 3125/10000
6/10
(6/10)^2 * (4/10)^3 = 2304/10000
8/10
= 512/10000
9/10
= 81/10000
All-14s (3 YES, 2 NO) = same but table flipped
"By the way, you can also tell that these are not 'the chances that the theory is correct' because they'd add up to over 12,000 chances out of 10,000, if that's what we were actually doing there."
"I wish I had some way of asking you whether that helped, anonymous question-asker, but maybe communicate again to Ione if that was still unclear?"
Keltham Prestidigitates the corrected table of likelihoods:
All-10s (2 NO, 3 YES):
Propensity:
Likelihood:
1/10
(1/10)^2 * (9/10)^3 = 729/10000
2/10
(2/10)^2 * (8/10)^3 = 2048/10000
4/10
(4/10)^2 * (6/10)^3 = 3456/10000
5/10
= 3125/10000
6/10
(6/10)^2 * (4/10)^3 = 2304/10000
8/10
= 512/10000
9/10
= 81/10000
All-14s (3 YES, 2 NO) = same but table flipped
"By the way, you can also tell that these are not 'the chances that the theory is correct' because they'd add up to over 12,000 chances out of 10,000, if that's what we were actually doing there."
"I wish I had some way of asking you whether that helped, anonymous question-asker, but maybe communicate again to Ione if that was still unclear?"
Keltham Prestidigitates the corrected table of likelihoods:
All-10s (2 NO, 3 YES):
Propensity:
Likelihood:
1/10
(1/10)^2 * (9/10)^3 = 729/10000
2/10
(2/10)^2 * (8/10)^3 = 2048/10000
4/10
(4/10)^2 * (6/10)^3 = 3456/10000
5/10
= 3125/10000
6/10
(6/10)^2 * (4/10)^3 = 2304/10000
8/10
= 512/10000
9/10
= 81/10000
All-14s (3 YES, 2 NO) = same but table flipped
"By the way, you can also tell that these are not 'the chances that the theory is correct' because they'd add up to over 12,000 chances out of 10,000, if that's what we were actually doing there."
"I wish I had some way of asking you whether that helped, anonymous question-asker, but maybe communicate again to Ione if that was still unclear?"
