She very hesitantly justifies this particular incident of recklessness in her mind, both to herself and anyone listening. She just wants to learn things. But she's also very happy she can help the project right now.

"'Five times better at this' seems like a tricky statement to use with this math. When you say a category has a specific chance of its own, you can go through and multiply all the probabilities in the category independently, and compare it to other categories that have been multiplied up independently. But with 'five times better', the two categories sort of depend on each other."

"You could guess that 10s have a 10% chance, so 14s would need a 50% or better chance. Or 10s could have a 15% chance and 14s would need to be better than 75%. Or 10s could have a 25% chance and it would be impossible for 14s to be five times better. And somehow 'are 14s five times better than 10s' needs to take account of all of those at once and everything in between. Or maybe you mean something more complicated than that by 'five times better', but I think that would make this more of an issue, not less of one."```

"And it's even worse, because there's an implied 'at LEAST' five times better there. So we need to account for all the imagined frameworks where the multiplier is at least five, all the way up to infinity."

She very hesitantly justifies this particular incident of recklessness in her mind, both to herself and anyone listening. She just wants to learn things. But she's also very happy she can help the project right now. She does do her best to look very hesitant, as is in character and appropriate.

"'Five times better at this' seems like a tricky statement to use with this math. When you say a category has a specific chance of its own, you can go through and multiply all the probabilities in the category independently, and compare it to other categories that have been multiplied up independently. But with 'five times better', the two categories sort of depend on each other."

"You could guess that 10s have a 10% chance, so 14s would need a 50% or better chance. Or 10s could have a 15% chance and 14s would need to be better than 75%. Or 10s could have a 25% chance and it would be impossible for 14s to be five times better. And somehow 'are 14s five times better than 10s' needs to take account of all of those at once and everything in between. Or maybe you mean something more complicated than that by 'five times better', but I think that would make this more of an issue, not less of one."```

"And it's even worse, because there's an implied 'at LEAST' five times better there. So we need to account for all the imagined frameworks where the multiplier is at least five, all the way up to infinity."

She very hesitantly justifies this particular incident of recklessness in her mind, both to herself and anyone listening. She just wants to learn things. But she's also very happy she can help the project right now. She does do her best to look very hesitant, as is in character for alter Willa and also generally appropriate.

"'Five times better at this' seems like a tricky statement to use with this math. When you say a category has a specific chance of its own, you can go through and multiply all the probabilities in the category independently, and compare it to other categories that have been multiplied up independently. But with 'five times better', the two categories sort of depend on each other."

"You could guess that 10s have a 10% chance, so 14s would need a 50% or better chance. Or 10s could have a 15% chance and 14s would need to be better than 75%. Or 10s could have a 25% chance and it would be impossible for 14s to be five times better. And somehow 'are 14s five times better than 10s' needs to take account of all of those at once and everything in between. Or maybe you mean something more complicated than that by 'five times better', but I think that would make this more of an issue, not less of one."```

"And it's even worse, because there's an implied 'at LEAST' five times better there. So we need to account for all the imagined frameworks where the multiplier is at least five, all the way up to infinity."

She very hesitantly justifies this particular incident of recklessness in her mind, both to herself and anyone listening. She just wants to learn things. But she's also very happy she can help the project right now. She does do her best to look very hesitant, as is in character for alter Willa and also generally appropriate.

"'Five times better at this' seems like a tricky statement to use with this math. When you say a category has a specific chance of its own, you can go through and multiply all the probabilities in the category independently, and compare it to other categories that have been multiplied up independently. But with 'five times better', the two categories sort of depend on each other."

"You could guess that 10s have a 10% chance, so 14s would need a 50% or better chance. Or 10s could have a 15% chance and 14s would need to be better than 75%. Or 10s could have a 25% chance and it would be impossible for 14s to be five times better. And somehow 'are 14s five times better than 10s' needs to take account of all of those at once and everything in between. Or maybe you mean something more complicated than that by 'five times better', but I think that would make this more of an issue, not less of one."

"And it's even worse, because there's an implied 'at LEAST' five times better there. So we need to account for all the imagined frameworks where the multiplier is at least five, all the way up to infinity."

She very hesitantly justifies this particular incident of recklessness in her mind, both to herself and anyone listening. She just wants to learn things. But she's also very happy she can help the project right now. She does do her best to also look very hesitant, as is in character for alter Willa and also generally appropriate.

"'Five times better at this' seems like a tricky statement to use with this math. When you say a category has a specific chance of its own, you can go through and multiply all the probabilities in the category independently, and compare it to other categories that have been multiplied up independently. But with 'five times better', the two categories sort of depend on each other."

"You could guess that 10s have a 10% chance, so 14s would need a 50% or better chance. Or 10s could have a 15% chance and 14s would need to be better than 75%. Or 10s could have a 25% chance and it would be impossible for 14s to be five times better. And somehow 'are 14s five times better than 10s' needs to take account of all of those at once and everything in between. Or maybe you mean something more complicated than that by 'five times better', but I think that would make this more of an issue, not less of one."

"And it's even worse, because there's an implied 'at LEAST' five times better there. So we need to account for all the imagined frameworks where the multiplier is at least five, all the way up to infinity."