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Version: 1
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"Simplifying things down way too far, for the purposes of keeping the math simple on its very first presentation, we'll say that the only variable we measure is whether or not somebody solves the challenge during their first five minutes."

"Now, how would you do Science! to that?  I'm going to let researchers and candidates from any tier answer, because I expect this one to be pretty hard just starting out.  But if I'm wrong about that and Asmodia or Carissa are seeing it immediately, do call Prediction rather than just tossing out the complete answer."

Version: 2
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"Simplifying things down way too far, for the purposes of keeping the math simple on its very first presentation, we'll say that the only variable we measure is whether or not somebody solves the challenge during their first five minutes."

"Now, how would you do Science! to that, to see whether +4 to all mental stats helped?  I'm going to let researchers and candidates from any tier answer, because I expect this one to be pretty hard just starting out.  But if I'm wrong about that and Asmodia or Carissa are seeing it immediately, do call Prediction rather than just tossing out the complete answer."