"Prediction markets actually don't work well enough at paying people to go out and secretly do experiments.  The market traders are pretty good at guessing when somebody else is just coming in with new information, and the old traders won't sell at their previous prices - the price moves sharply enough that the experimenter often can't make much of a profit off the prediction market.  Like, the current price is 80%, but that doesn't mean you can just buy a million shares at 80%, reveal your experimental results, and resell at 90%.  Once you start buying in massive quantities like that, the price starts moving upward from 80%, because market participants have guessed you have private information."

"It's more straightforward and direct and less clever than that, actually; what happens is that people will just straight-up promise 'impact-purchases' on discoveries they want to see made."

"Like most dath ilani males, I am very 'straight' and 'heterosexual', meaning that I'm only attracted to women, and more strongly as they present with fairly central feminine gendertropes.  Like most straight men, I committed to the outstanding bounty for finding a reasonably-completely-safe 'medical-enhancement' intervention that would make me also be able to attracted to men, because, as all the 'bisexuals' keep telling the rest of us, we're missing out on half the fun.  The collective commitment is up to something like a hundred billion unskilled-labor-hours at this point... that would be about five hundred million gold pieces in Golarion terms, if I'm remembering the units right?  That's how rich you would be personally in dath ilan, if you singlehandedly found a safe way to turn men bisexual, all by yourself with nobody else contributing."

"Prediction markets actually don't work well enough at paying people to go out and secretly do experiments.  The market traders are pretty good at guessing when somebody else is just coming in with new information, and the old traders won't sell at their previous prices - the price moves sharply enough that the experimenter often can't make much of a profit off the prediction market.  Like, the current price is 80%, but that doesn't mean you can just buy a million shares at 80%, reveal your experimental results, and resell at 90%.  Once you start buying in massive quantities like that, the price starts moving upward from 80%, because market participants have guessed you have private information."

"It's more straightforward and direct and less clever than that, actually; what happens is that people will just straight-up promise 'impact-purchases' on discoveries they want to see made."

"Like most dath ilani males, I am very 'straight' and 'heterosexual', meaning that I'm only attracted to women, and more strongly as they present with fairly central feminine gendertropes.  Like most straight men, I committed to the outstanding bounty for finding a reasonably-completely-safe 'medical-enhancement' intervention that would make me also be able to attracted to men, because, as all the 'bisexuals' keep telling the rest of us, we're missing out on half the fun.  The collective commitment is up to something like a hundred billion unskilled-labor-hours at this point... that would be about five hundred million gold pieces in Golarion terms, if I'm remembering the units right?  That's how rich you would be in dath ilan, if you singlehandedly found a safe way to turn men bisexual, all by yourself with nobody else contributing."

"Prediction markets actually don't work well enough at paying people to go out and secretly do experiments.  The market traders are pretty good at guessing when somebody else is just coming in with new information, and the old traders won't sell at their previous prices - the price moves sharply enough that the experimenter often can't make much of a profit off the prediction market.  Like, the current price is 80%, but that doesn't mean you can just buy a million shares at 80%, reveal your experimental results, and resell at 90%.  Once you start buying in massive quantities like that, the price starts moving upward from 80%, because market participants have guessed you have private information."

"It's more straightforward and direct and less clever than that, actually; what happens is that people will just straight-up promise 'impact-purchases' on discoveries they want to see made."

"Like most dath ilani males, I am very 'straight' and 'heterosexual', meaning that I'm only attracted to women, and more strongly as they present with fairly central feminine gendertropes.  Like most straight men, I committed to the outstanding bounty for finding a reasonably-completely-safe 'medical-enhancement' intervention that would make me also be attracted to men, because, as all the 'bisexuals' keep telling the rest of us, we're missing out on half the fun.  The collective commitment is up to something like a hundred billion unskilled-labor-hours at this point... that would be about five hundred million gold pieces in Golarion terms, if I'm remembering the units right?  That's how rich you would be in dath ilan, if you singlehandedly found a safe way to turn men bisexual, all by yourself with nobody else contributing."

"Prediction markets actually don't work well enough at paying people to go out and secretly do experiments.  The market traders are pretty good at guessing when somebody else is just coming in with new information, and the old traders won't sell at their previous prices - the price moves sharply enough that the experimenter often can't make much of a profit off the prediction market.  Like, the current price is 80%, but that doesn't mean you can just buy a million shares at 80%, reveal your experimental results, and resell at 90%.  Once you start buying in massive quantities like that, the price starts moving upward from 80%, because market participants have guessed you have private information."

"It's more straightforward and direct and less clever than that, actually; what happens is that people will just straight-up promise 'impact-purchases' on discoveries they want to see made."

"Like most dath ilani males, I am 'gynosexual' and very 'straight', meaning that I'm only attracted to women, and mostly only if they present with fairly central feminine gendertropes.  Like most such men, I committed to the outstanding bounty for finding a reasonably-completely-safe 'medical-enhancement' intervention that would make me also be attracted to men, because, as all the 'bisexuals' keep telling the rest of us, we're missing out on half the fun.  The collective commitment is up to something like a hundred billion unskilled-labor-hours at this point... that would be about five hundred million gold pieces in Golarion terms, if I'm remembering the units right?  That's how rich you would be in dath ilan, if you singlehandedly found a safe way to turn men bisexual, all by yourself with nobody else contributing."

"Prediction markets actually don't work well enough at paying people to go out and secretly do experiments.  The market traders are pretty good at guessing when somebody else is just coming in with new information, and the old traders won't sell at their previous prices - the price moves sharply enough that the experimenter often can't make much of a profit off the prediction market.  Like, the current price is 80%, but that doesn't mean you can just buy a million shares at 80%, reveal your experimental results, and resell at 90%.  Once you start buying in massive quantities like that, the price starts moving upward from 80%, because market participants have guessed you have private information."

"It's more straightforward and direct and less clever than that, actually; what happens is that people will just straight-up promise 'impact-purchases' on discoveries they want to see made."

"Like most dath ilani males, I am 'gynosexual' and very 'straight', meaning that I'm only attracted to women, and mostly only if they present with fairly central feminine gendertropes.  Like most such men, I committed to the outstanding bounty for finding a reasonably-completely-safe 'medical-enhancement' intervention that would make me also be attracted to men, because, as all the 'bisexuals' keep telling the rest of us, we're missing out on half the fun.  The collective commitment is up to something like a hundred billion unskilled-labor-hours at this point... that would be about five hundred million gold pieces in Golarion terms, if I'm remembering the units right?  That's how rich you would be in dath ilan, if you singlehandedly found a safe way to turn men bisexual, all by yourself with nobody else contributing.  It's one of the biggest, most famous unclaimed bounties."

"Prediction markets actually don't work well enough at paying people to go out and secretly do experiments.  The market traders are pretty good at guessing when somebody else is just coming in with new information, and the old traders won't sell at their previous prices - the price moves sharply enough that the experimenter often can't make much of a profit off the prediction market.  Like, the current price is 80%, but that doesn't mean you can just buy a million shares at 80%, reveal your experimental results, and resell at 90%.  Once you start buying in massive quantities like that, the price starts moving upward from 80%, because market participants have guessed you have private information."

"It's more straightforward and direct and less clever than that, actually; what happens is that people will just straight-up promise 'impact-purchases' on discoveries they want to see made."

"Like most dath ilani males, I am 'gynosexual' and very 'straight', meaning that I'm only attracted to women, and mostly only if they present with fairly central feminine gendertropes.  Like most such men, I committed to the outstanding bounty for finding a reasonably-completely-safe 'medical-enhancement' intervention that would make me also be attracted to men, because, as all the 'bisexuals' keep telling the rest of us, we're missing out on half the fun.  The collective commitment is up to something like a hundred billion unskilled-labor-hours at this point... about five hundred million gold pieces in Golarion terms, maybe possibly?  That's how rich you would be in dath ilan, if you singlehandedly found a safe way to turn men bisexual, all by yourself with nobody else contributing.  It's one of the biggest, most famous unclaimed bounties."