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"I wouldn't be surprised if my god has a spell for that which is incredibly difficult to mess with, but I don't know if it'd be fourth-circle or lower.  It would be on-theme with the truthspell and the pricing spell."

"Anyways, I now pose to you this devastating question: who says that a 1/2 probability of an apple is worth exactly half as much as an apple?  Maybe somebody is like, 'All this uncertainty about the apple makes me feel terrible; a 1/2 probability of an apple is really only worth to me a third as much as the certainty of an apple.'"

"Who says that the probabilities of things need to combine with their values by multiplication?  How simple, how naive!  Perhaps there is some more clever way to do things."

Version: 2
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"I wouldn't be surprised if my god has a spell for that which is incredibly difficult to mess with, but I don't know if it'd be fourth-circle or lower.  It would be on-theme with the truthspell and the pricing spell."

"Anyways, I now pose to you this devastating question: who says that a 1/2 probability of an apple is worth exactly half as much as an apple?  Maybe somebody is like, 'All this uncertainty about the apple makes me feel terrible; a 1/2 probability of an apple is really only worth to me a third as much as the certainty of an apple.'"

"Who says that the probabilities of things need to combine with their values by multiplication?  How simple, how naive!  Perhaps there is some more clever way to do things."

Version: 3
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"I wouldn't be surprised if my god has a spell for that which is incredibly difficult to mess with, but I don't know if it'd be fourth-circle or lower.  It would be on-theme with the truthspell and the pricing spell."

"Anyways, I now pose to you this devastating question: who says that a 1/2 probability of an apple is worth exactly half as much as an apple?  Maybe somebody is like, 'All this uncertainty about getting the apple makes me feel terrible; a 1/2 probability of an apple is really only worth to me a third as much as the certainty of an apple.'"

"Who says that the probabilities of things need to combine with their values by multiplication?  How simple, how naive!  Perhaps there is some more clever way to do things."

Version: 4
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"I wouldn't be surprised if my god has a spell for that which is incredibly difficult to mess with, but I don't know if it'd be fourth-circle or lower.  It would be on-theme with the truthspell and the pricing spell."

"Anyways, I now pose to you this devastating question: who says that a 1/2 probability of an apple is worth exactly half as much as an apple?  Maybe somebody is like, 'All this uncertainty about getting the apple makes me feel terrible; a 1/2 probability of an apple is really only worth to me a third as much as the certainty of an apple.'"

"Who says that the probabilities of things need to combine with their values by multiplication?  How simple, how naive!  Perhaps there is some more clever way to do things.  By what Law is it a regulation of our city, that we must do things in exactly that way, or else suffer some terrible misfortune?"

Version: 5
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"I wouldn't be surprised if my god has a spell for that which is incredibly difficult to mess with, but I don't know if it'd be fourth-circle or lower.  It would be on-theme with the truthspell and the pricing spell."

"Anyways, I now pose to you this devastating question: who says that a 1/2 probability of an apple is worth exactly half as much as an apple?  Maybe somebody is like, 'All this uncertainty about getting the apple makes me feel terrible; a 1/2 probability of an apple is really only worth to me a third as much as the certainty of an apple.'  And so, you can't use probabilistic trades to determine people's real trading ratios."

"Who says that the probabilities of things need to combine with their values by multiplication?  How simple, how naive!  Perhaps there is some more clever way to do things.  By what Law is it a regulation of our city, that we must do things in exactly that way, or else suffer some terrible misfortune?"