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This would be the downside of running your government in a way where, for the greater Good, you would think it was ever okay for somebody like Keltham to demand that Carissa to be given to him even if she didn't want that, because Keltham is so important.  Well, it at least sounds like they didn't literally give 'Manohar' any women.

All right, trope-based prediction, 'Manohar' can't possibly not come here.  He'll target one of the four existing Special Girls, who needs to be protected from him by something that Keltham has to do in some way; or successfully persuade a new girl who turns Special after Manohar does experiments to her and one of those backfires, in which case the event cannot possibly be stopped.

Nontrope prediction, all other possible outcomes; favored within that, Manohar comes in and pokes around and annoys people but everybody sensibly tells him to go away and he does.

"Among my reactions to this is to want to jump forwards immediately on organizing Project Lawful more formally and signing our own contract with the Chelish government that recognizes Project Lawful as in part our own property, and thereby not subject in a simple way to compacts solely between Manohar and Cheliax."

Version: 2
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This would be the downside of running your government in a way where, for the greater Good, you would think it was ever okay for somebody like Keltham to demand that Carissa to be given to him even if she didn't want that, because Keltham is so important.  Well, it at least sounds like they didn't literally give 'Manohar' any women.

All right, trope-based prediction, Manohar can't possibly not come here.  He'll target one of the four existing Special Girls, who needs to be protected from him by something that Keltham has to do in some way; or successfully persuade a new girl who turns Special after Manohar does experiments to her and one of those backfires, in which case the event cannot possibly be stopped.

Nontrope prediction, all other possible outcomes; favored within that, Manohar comes in and pokes around and annoys people but everybody sensibly tells him to go away and he does.

"Among my reactions to this is to want to jump forwards immediately on organizing Project Lawful more formally and signing our own contract with the Chelish government that recognizes Project Lawful as in part our own property, and thereby not subject in a simple way to compacts solely between Manohar and Cheliax."