"Interesting question!  And you might ask then, what if there's magic that can make three copies of somebody?  Maybe you just can start with 150 INT 15s and get 450 5th-circle wizards.  And, if so, what would it be like to be one of those wizards?  Should you then go around saying that your chance of making 5th-circle is 300%, and weigh the consequences of that three times as much as if you were certain?"

"This however would get us into 'anthropics', and we are not getting into 'anthropics'.  That, by the way, is a general slogan of dath ilani classes on probability theory:  We are not getting into 'anthropics'.  I'm not even going to translate the word.  As long as you don't make any copies of people, you can stay out of that kind of trouble, and this is the approach to life we should take at least for the next several weeks."

"Interesting question!  And you might ask then, what if there's magic that can make three copies of somebody?  Maybe you just can start with 150 INT 15s and get 450 5th-circle wizards.  And, if so, what would it be like to be one of those wizards?  Should you then go around saying that your chance of making 5th-circle is 300%, and weigh the consequences of that three times as much as if you were certain?"

"This however would get us into 'anthropics', and we are not getting into 'anthropics'.  That, by the way, is a general slogan of dath ilani classes on probability theory:  We are not getting into 'anthropics'.  I'm not even going to translate the word.  As long as you don't make any copies of people, you can stay out of that kind of trouble.  That trouble-free life should be our ambition for at least the next several weeks."