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"Anyways, the Law-fragment you learned yesterday is about building a scaffold between probabilities and the thing that determines how right you were.  If I say I put 1/2 probability on my hand holding silver, to determine whether I'm being honest, Nethys just has to examine my brain and see if I'm honestly saying what I think the chance is, or if I'd bet 50/100 under a Lawful scoring rule, and not look at my hand at all."

"To determine the equivalent of whether I'm right - to say how right I am - you have to build a scaffold in your mind, from my saying 1/2, to my hand, and then you don't say 'true' or 'false', 'right' or 'wrong', you say that my loss was one 2, or one 'bit' to use the Baseline term.  And this does involve concepts that people aren't just born with, which is why you want to understand the scaffold consciously and explicitly, rather than taking it for granted as something you'll do instinctively correctly."

Version: 2
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"Anyways, the Law-fragment you learned yesterday is about building a scaffold between probabilities and the thing that determines how right you were.  If I say I put 1/2 probability on my hand holding silver, to determine whether I'm being honest, Nethys just has to examine my brain and see if I'm honestly saying what I think the chance is, or if I'd bet 50/100 under a Lawful scoring rule, and not look at my hand at all."

"To determine the equivalent of whether I'm right - to say how right I am - you have to build a scaffold in your mind, from my saying 1/2, to my hand, and then you don't say 'true' or 'false', 'right' or 'wrong'; if I actually am holding silver, you say that my loss was one factor of 2, or one 'bit' to use the Baseline term.  And this does involve concepts that people aren't just born with, which is why you want to understand the scaffold consciously and explicitly, rather than taking it for granted as something you'll do instinctively correctly."