"Because, while the specific balances of power between the Church of Asmodeus and the House of Thrune are complicated and you are frankly unlikely to understand them going on your current level of sophistication, the Queen of Cheliax is arguably, and especially as Carissa might see it, the other person in all of Cheliax who could, so far as Carissa knows, successfully get her chained to a bed whether she liked that or not.  It would cost the Queen serious political capital with the Church of Asmodeus, but they wouldn't burn down the country over it."

"Because, while the specific balances of power between the Church of Asmodeus and the House of Thrune are complicated and you are frankly unlikely to understand them going on your current level of Golarion political sophistication, the Queen of Cheliax is arguably, and especially as Carissa might see it, the other person in all of Cheliax who could, so far as Carissa knows, successfully get her chained to a bed whether she liked that or not.  It would cost the Queen serious political capital with the Church of Asmodeus, but they wouldn't burn down the country over it."