"I am suddenly concerned about whether I have accidentally fallen into the trap of thinking I am a story protagonist, instead of applying the principle of mediocrity.  When I landed near the Worldwound, was I being improbably placed near the most important present disaster on the world, or actually is most of Golarion like that outside the protected villas and actually the Worldwound was number twelve on the list of worst disasters from the previous week?"

"I am suddenly concerned about whether I have accidentally fallen into the trap of thinking I am a story protagonist, instead of applying the principle of mediocrity.  When I landed near the Worldwound, was I being improbably placed near the most important present disaster on the world, or actually is most of Golarion like that outside the protected villas and the Worldwound was just number twelve on the list of worst disasters from the previous week?"

"I am suddenly concerned about whether I have accidentally fallen into the trap of thinking I am a story protagonist, instead of applying the principle of mediocrity.  When I landed near the Worldwound, was I otherwise-improbably being placed near the most important present disaster in the world, or actually is most of Golarion like that outside the protected housing and the Worldwound was just number twelve on the list of worst disasters from the previous week?"

"I am suddenly concerned about whether I have accidentally fallen into the trap of thinking I am a story protagonist, instead of applying the principle of mediocrity.  When I landed near the Worldwound, was I otherwise-improbably being placed near the most important present disaster in the world, or actually is most of Golarion like that outside the protected housing and the Worldwound was just number twelve on the list of worst disasters from the previous week?"

Keltham's first-order uncorrected intuitive probability he'll want to have kids here has now fallen to 65%, not so much from this update about Golarion's nature, per se, as what it implies about a predictable string of first-order updates that have all been in the same direction so far.